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Banks surprise on upside with healthy growth

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Positive performance leans on robust indicators

PETALING JAYA: Banks are seeing healthy growth in their loans and deposits, prompting analysts to maintain their “overweight” calls on the sector.

CGS-CIMB Research said a positive surprise from the recent June statistics was the pick-up in loan growth from 5% to 5.6%, despite inflationary pressure.

“We raise our projected loan growth for 2022 from 4% to 5%, to 5% to 6%, given the better-than-expected loan growth and robust loan indicators in June,” the research house told clients in a report.

It also maintained its “overweight” call, premised on the expected expansion in net interest margins amid the overnight policy rate upcycle and declines in loan loss provisioning.

“Another positive take from June statistics was the robust loan applications and approvals, which surged 41.7% and 53% respectively, to all-time highs,” it said.

RHB Research, which also said it was maintaining its “overweight” call pointed out that banks’ asset quality remained robust despite gross impaired loans (GIL) inching up.

“In particular, we saw increases in GIL from households and the wholesale and retail trade sector.

“However, this was expected, given the expiry of certain loan relief programmes.

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“As a whole, system GIL ratio of 1.65% remains at a manageable level,” it told clients in its report.

RHB Research noted that banks were staying cautious of “risky” construction loans.

“Applications for construction-related loans almost tripled on a month-on-month basis in June, but approvals for such loans declined 4%.

“Guidance from the banks indicates that lenders are becoming more prudent on loans for construction purposes, as increasing building material costs and a shortage of labour are challenges confronting industry players,” said RHB Research, in its report.

“Construction-related GILs have increased 19% year-to-date, and had the highest GIL ratio at 6.36% versus the overall business GIL ratio of 2.38%,” it added.

Kenanga Research, which also maintained its “overweight” on the banking sector, said while indicators “may be on the precautionary side, we stand to believe banking stocks will remain resilient.”

It said it was anticipating a further two 25 basis points overnight policy rate (OPR) hikes, which “although might pressure household affordability, may not be too detrimental to business loans as they work to deliver economic growth.

“Previously affected sectors are also expected to make a comeback with the reopening of borders,“ Kenanga Research added.

However, it noted that it was aware that investors could be “slighted” by capital downside risks, no thanks to ongoing macro uncertainties such as prolonged supply chain disruptions and global recession worries.

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  • 2022-10-05 01:00:38



    转到朋友圈了

    • 2022-11-29 16:17:16

      @▲怪癖先生。 当然,读者在此很难不想到法国小说家福楼拜的名著《包法利夫人》,二者存在很强的互文性。因此不足为奇的是,虽然与包法利夫人相距百余年,阿格尼丝的命运仿佛早已写就:她如寻找到救星一般扑向了舒格,甚至为他生下了孩子,却最终命丧于自己的选择。而这在他们私奔的那个夜晚就已经注定:当时,阿格尼丝兴冲冲地数落舒格迟到,却完全没有想到,舒格其实被她变成一个抛弃妻子儿女的男人。嘿嘿,我来过呀

  • 2022-12-28 00:14:42

    Not that identity politics is necessarily bad: it’s just natural for one to help one’s community first, as long as that isn’t done at the expense of the other communities.每天都来啊,快火

  • 2023-01-30 00:14:37

    “Hence, he can pay anytime during the 12 years,” said the counsel.挺轻松的,很需要